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1.
J Med Internet Res ; 25: e48405, 2023 07 28.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37505795

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Social media is an important information source for a growing subset of the population and can likely be leveraged to provide insight into the evolving drug overdose epidemic. Twitter can provide valuable insight into trends, colloquial information available to potential users, and how networks and interactivity might influence what people are exposed to and how they engage in communication around drug use. OBJECTIVE: This exploratory study was designed to investigate the ways in which unsupervised machine learning analyses using natural language processing could identify coherent themes for tweets containing substance names. METHODS: This study involved harnessing data from Twitter, including large-scale collection of brand name (N=262,607) and street name (N=204,068) prescription drug-related tweets and use of unsupervised machine learning analyses (ie, natural language processing) of collected data with data visualization to identify pertinent tweet themes. Latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA) with coherence score calculations was performed to compare brand (eg, OxyContin) and street (eg, oxys) name tweets. RESULTS: We found people discussed drug use differently depending on whether a brand name or street name was used. Brand name categories often contained political talking points (eg, border, crime, and political handling of ongoing drug mitigation strategies). In contrast, categories containing street names occasionally referenced drug misuse, though multiple social uses for a term (eg, Sonata) muddled topic clarity. CONCLUSIONS: Content in the brand name corpus reflected discussion about the drug itself and less often reflected personal use. However, content in the street name corpus was notably more diverse and resisted simple LDA categorization. We speculate this may reflect effective use of slang terminology to clandestinely discuss drug-related activity. If so, straightforward analyses of digital drug-related communication may be more difficult than previously assumed. This work has the potential to be used for surveillance and detection of harmful drug use information. It also might be used for appropriate education and dissemination of information to persons engaged in drug use content on Twitter.


Assuntos
Medicamentos sob Prescrição , Mídias Sociais , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Substâncias , Humanos , Coleta de Dados/métodos , Aprendizado de Máquina não Supervisionado , Aprendizado de Máquina , Mineração de Dados , Processamento de Linguagem Natural
2.
Resuscitation ; 187: 109788, 2023 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37030551

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Drowning results in more than 360,000 deaths annually, making it the 3rd leading cause of unintentional injury death worldwide. Prior studies examining drowning internationally have reviewed factors surrounding drowning however in the U.S. limited data exists. This study evaluated the novel drowning elements collected in the Cardiac Arrest Registry to Enhance Survival (CARES) during the first 2 years of data collection. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of the CARES database identified cases of drowning etiology for the two years 2020 and 2021. Demographics and incident characteristics were collected. Characteristics included items such as body of water, precipitating event, and who extracted patients. Survival to hospital discharge and neurological outcomes were compared between groups based on who initiated CPR using Pearson's Chi-Squared tests. RESULTS: Among 1,767 drowning cases, 69.7% were male, 47.1% white and 11.9% survived to hospital discharge. Body of water was often natural body (36.2%) or swimming pool (25.9%) and bystanders removed the patient in 42.7% of incidents. Swimming was the most common activity at time of submersion (18.6%) however in 50.2% of cases, activity was unknown or missing. When compared to EMS/First Responder initiating CPR, odds of neurologically favorable survival were significantly higher in the Bystander initiated CPR group (OR = 2.85, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.02-4.01). CONCLUSION: In this national cohort of drowning patients in cardiac arrest, the novel CARES drowning elements provide additional detail of epidemiological factors. Bystander CPR was associated with improved neurological outcomes. Future studies utilizing the drowning elements can inform injury prevention strategies.


Assuntos
Reanimação Cardiopulmonar , Afogamento , Serviços Médicos de Emergência , Parada Cardíaca Extra-Hospitalar , Humanos , Masculino , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Feminino , Reanimação Cardiopulmonar/métodos , Afogamento/epidemiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Sistema de Registros , Água
3.
Am J Epidemiol ; 188(1): 102-109, 2019 01 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30325407

RESUMO

Social isolation is associated with higher mortality in studies comprising mostly white adults, yet associations among black adults are unclear. In this prospective cohort study, we evaluated whether associations of social isolation with all-cause, cardiovascular disease, and cancer mortality differed by race and sex. Adults enrolled in Cancer Prevention Study II in 1982/1983 were followed for mortality through 2012 (n = 580,182). Sex- and race-specific multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals were estimated for associations of a 5-point social isolation score with risk of death. Social isolation was associated with all-cause mortality in all subgroups (P for trend ≤ 0.005); for the most isolated versus the least isolated, the hazard ratios were 2.34 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.58, 3.46) and 1.60 (95% CI: 1.41, 1.82) among black men and white men, respectively (P for interaction = 0.40) and 2.13 (95% CI: 1.44, 3.15) and 1.84 (95% CI: 1.68, 2.01) among black women and white women, respectively (P for interaction = 0.89). The association did not differ between black men and black women (P for interaction = 0.33) but was slightly stronger in white women than in white men (P for interaction = 0.01). Social isolation was associated with cardiovascular disease mortality in each subgroup (P for trend < 0.03) but with cancer mortality only among whites (P for trend < 0.0001). Subgroup differences in the influence of specific social isolation components were identified. Identifying and intervening with socially isolated adults could improve health outcomes.


Assuntos
Negro ou Afro-Americano/estatística & dados numéricos , Doenças Cardiovasculares/mortalidade , Neoplasias/mortalidade , Isolamento Social , População Branca/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Idoso , Doenças Cardiovasculares/etnologia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Neoplasias/etnologia , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores Raciais , Fatores de Risco , Fatores Sexuais , Participação Social , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
4.
Addict Sci Clin Pract ; 13(1): 23, 2018 12 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30509314

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The non-medical use of opioids has reached epidemic levels nationwide, and rural areas have been particularly affected by increasing rates of overdose mortality as well as increases in the prison population. Individuals with opioid use disorder (OUD) are at increased risk for relapse and overdose upon reentry to the community due to decreased tolerance during incarceration. It is crucial to identify barriers to substance use disorder treatment post-release from prison because treatment can be particularly difficult to access in resource-limited rural Appalachia. METHODS: A social ecological framework was utilized to examine barriers to community-based substance use treatment among individuals with OUD in Appalachian Kentucky following release from prison. Semi-structured qualitative interviews with 15 social service clinicians (SSCs) employed by the Department of Corrections were conducted to identify barriers at the individual, interpersonal, organizational/institutional level, community, and systems levels. Two independent coders conducted line-by-line coding to identify key themes. RESULTS: Treatment barriers were identified across the social ecological spectrum. At the individual-level, SSCs highlighted high-risk drug use and a lack of motivation. At the interpersonal level, homogenous social networks (i.e., homophilious drug-using networks) and networks with limited treatment knowledge inhibited treatment. SSC's high case load and probation/parole officer's limited understanding of treatment were organizational/institutional barriers. Easy access to opioids, few treatment resources, and a lack of community support for treatment were barriers at the community level. SSC's noted system-level barriers such as lack of transportation options, cost, and uncertainty about the implementation of the Affordable Care Act. CONCLUSIONS: More rural infrastructure resources as well as additional education for family networks, corrections staff, and the community at large in Appalachia are needed to address barriers to OUD treatment. Future research should examine barriers from the perspective of other key stakeholders (e.g., clients, families of clients) and test interventions to increase access to OUD treatment.


Assuntos
Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Opioides/psicologia , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Opioides/terapia , Prisioneiros/psicologia , Assistentes Sociais/psicologia , Adulto , Região dos Apalaches , Feminino , Conhecimentos, Atitudes e Prática em Saúde , Humanos , Entrevistas como Assunto , Motivação , Pesquisa Qualitativa , Características de Residência , Estigma Social , Apoio Social , Fatores Socioeconômicos
5.
J Res Adm ; 49(1): 76-99, 2018.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31435193

RESUMO

Interdisciplinary research collaboration is needed to perform transformative science and accelerate innovation. The Science of Team Science strives to investigate, evaluate, and foster team science, including institutional policies that may promote or hinder collaborative interdisciplinary research and the resources and infrastructure needed to promote team science within and across institutions. Social network analysis (SNA) has emerged as a useful method to measure interdisciplinary science through the evaluation of several types of collaboration networks, including co-authorship networks. Likewise, research administrators are responsible for conducting rigorous evaluation of policies and initiatives. Within this paper, we present a case study using SNA to evaluate inter-programmatic collaboration (evidenced by co-authoring scientific papers) from 2007-2014 among scientists who are members of four formal research programs at an NCI-designated Cancer Center, the Markey Cancer Center (MCC) at the University of Kentucky. We evaluate change in network descriptives over time and implement separable temporal exponential-family random graph models (STERGMs) to estimate the effect of author and network variables on the tendency to form a co-authorship tie. We measure the diversity of the articles published over time (Blau's Index) to understand whether the changes in the co-authorship network are reflected in the diversity of articles published by research members. Over the 8-year period, we found increased inter-programmatic collaboration among research members as evidenced by co-authorship of published scientific papers. Over time, MCC Members collaborated more with others outside of their research program and outside their initial dense co-authorship groups, however tie formation continues to be driven by co-authoring with individuals of the same research program and academic department. Papers increased in diversity over time on all measures with the exception of author gender. This inter-programmatic research was fostered by policy changes in cancer center administration encouraging interdisciplinary research through both informal (e.g., annual retreats, seminar series) and formal (e.g., requiring investigators from more than two research programs on applications for pilot funding) means. Within this cancer center, interdisciplinary co-authorship increased over time as policies encouraging this collaboration were implemented. Yet, there is room for improvement in creating more interdisciplinary and diverse ties between research program members.

6.
JMIR Res Protoc ; 6(6): e124, 2017 Jun 22.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28642217

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Personal social networks have a profound impact on our health, yet collecting personal network data for use in health communication, behavior change, or translation and dissemination interventions has proved challenging. Recent advances in social network data collection software have reduced the burden of network studies on researchers and respondents alike, yet little testing has occurred to discover whether these methods are: (1) acceptable to a variety of target populations, including those who may have limited experience with technology or limited literacy; and (2) practical in the field, specifically in areas that are geographically and technologically disconnected, such as rural Appalachian Kentucky. OBJECTIVE: We explored the early-stage feasibility (Acceptability, Demand, Implementation, and Practicality) of using innovative, interactive, tablet-based network data collection and visualization software (OpenEddi) in field collection of personal network data in Appalachian Kentucky. METHODS: A total of 168 rural Appalachian women who had previously participated in a study on the use of a self-collected vaginal swab (SCVS) for human papillomavirus testing were recruited by community-based nurse interviewers between September 2013 and August 2014. Participants completed egocentric network surveys via OpenEddi, which captured social and communication network influences on participation in, and recruitment to, the SCVS study. After study completion, we conducted a qualitative group interview with four nurse interviewers and two participants in the network study. Using this qualitative data, and quantitative data from the network study, we applied guidelines from Bowen et al to assess feasibility in four areas of early-stage development of OpenEddi: Acceptability, Demand, Implementation, and Practicality. Basic descriptive network statistics (size, edges, density) were analyzed using RStudio. RESULTS: OpenEddi was perceived as fun, novel, and superior to other data collection methods or tools. Respondents enjoyed the social network survey component, and visualizing social networks produced thoughtful responses from participants about leveraging or changing network content and structure for specific health-promoting purposes. Areas for improved literacy and functionality of the tool were identified. However, technical issues led to substantial (50%) data loss, limiting the success of its implementation from a researcher's perspective, and hindering practicality in the field. CONCLUSIONS: OpenEddi is a promising data collection tool for use in geographically isolated and socioeconomically disadvantaged populations. Future development will mitigate technical problems, improve usability and literacy, and test new methods of data collection. These changes will support goals for use of this tool in the delivery of network-based health communication and social support interventions to socioeconomically disadvantaged populations.

7.
Milbank Q ; 92(1): 40-62, 2014 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24597555

RESUMO

CONTEXT: Implementing the Affordable Care Act (ACA) in 2014 will require effective enrollment and outreach efforts to previously uninsured individuals now eligible for coverage. METHODS: From 1996 to 2013, the Health Communication Research Laboratory conducted more than 40 original studies with more than 30,000 participants to learn how to improve the reach to and effectiveness of health information for low-income and racial/ethnic minority populations. We synthesized the findings from this body of research and used them to inform current challenges in implementing the ACA. FINDINGS: We found empirical support for 5 recommendations regarding partnerships, outreach, messages and messengers, life priorities of low-income individuals and families, and the information environment. We translated these into 12 action steps. CONCLUSIONS: Health communication science can inform the development and execution of strategies to increase the public's understanding of the ACA and to support the enrollment of eligible individuals into Medicaid or the Health Insurance Marketplace.


Assuntos
Comunicação em Saúde/métodos , Trocas de Seguro de Saúde/organização & administração , Disseminação de Informação/métodos , Cobertura do Seguro/organização & administração , Medicaid/organização & administração , Pessoas sem Cobertura de Seguro de Saúde/legislação & jurisprudência , Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act/organização & administração , Prática Clínica Baseada em Evidências/métodos , Humanos , Saúde das Minorias , Pobreza , Estados Unidos
8.
Am J Health Promot ; 28(6): 397-402, 2014.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24200336

RESUMO

PURPOSE: Characterize mobile technology ownership, use, and relationship to self-reported cancer prevention behaviors and health status in a diverse, low-income sample of callers to 2-1-1. DESIGN: Secondary analyses of cross-sectional survey data from a larger trial collected from June 2010 to December 2012. SETTING: United Way Missouri 2-1-1 serves 99 of 114 counties and received 166,000 calls in 2011. SUBJECTS: The respondents (baseline, n = 1898; 4 month, n = 1242) were predominantly female, non-Hispanic Black, younger than 50 years, with high-school education or less and annual income <$20,000. MEASURES: Cell phone ownership and use and its relationship to cancer prevention services and health status were assessed via telephone-based survey, using items adapted from previous research and the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System. Smartphone ownership and use were also assessed. ANALYSIS: Descriptive statistics and bivariate and multivariate associations between cell phone ownership and prevention and health status are reported. RESULTS: Three-fourths (74%) of study participants owned a cell phone and 23% owned a smartphone. Text messaging was the most popular use. Ownership was significantly associated with good to excellent health status and presence of smoke-free home policies in multivariate models. CONCLUSION: Cell phone ownership is growing and has potential to deliver health information to low-income populations. With 16 million calls annually, the national 2-1-1 system may be a promising model and platform.


Assuntos
Telefone Celular , Promoção da Saúde/métodos , Nível de Saúde , Neoplasias/prevenção & controle , Adulto , Sistema de Vigilância de Fator de Risco Comportamental , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Missouri , Pobreza , Fatores de Risco , Inquéritos e Questionários
9.
Am J Prev Med ; 43(6 Suppl 5): S425-34, 2012 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23157761

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Callers to 2-1-1 have greater need for and lesser use of cancer control services than other Americans. Integrating cancer risk assessment and referrals to preventive services into 2-1-1 systems is both feasible and acceptable to callers. PURPOSE: To determine whether callers will act on these referrals. METHODS: In a randomized trial, 2-1-1 callers (n=1200) received standard service and those with at least one cancer risk factor or need for screening were assigned to receive verbal referrals only, verbal referrals + a tailored reminder mailed to their home, or verbal referrals + a telephone health coach/navigator. All data were collected from June 2010 to March 2012 and analyzed in March and April 2012. RESULTS: At 1-month follow-up, callers in the navigator condition were more likely to report having contacted a cancer control referral than those receiving tailored reminders or verbal referrals only (34% vs 24% vs 18%, respectively; n=772, p<0.0001). Compared to verbal referrals only, navigators were particularly effective in getting 2-1-1 callers to contact providers for mammograms (OR=2.10, 95% CI=1.04, 4.22); Paps (OR=2.98, 95% CI=1.18, 7.54); and smoking cessation (OR=2.07, 95% CI=1.14, 3.74). CONCLUSIONS: Given the extensive reach of 2-1-1s and the elevated risk profile of their callers, even modest response rates could have meaningful impact on population health if proactive health referrals were implemented nationally.


Assuntos
Serviços de Informação/organização & administração , Neoplasias/diagnóstico , Serviços Preventivos de Saúde/métodos , Encaminhamento e Consulta/organização & administração , Adulto , Estudos de Viabilidade , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Masculino , Mamografia/estatística & dados numéricos , Programas de Rastreamento/estatística & dados numéricos , Neoplasias/prevenção & controle , Medição de Risco/métodos , Fatores de Risco , Abandono do Hábito de Fumar/estatística & dados numéricos , Telefone
10.
Am J Prev Med ; 43(6 Suppl 5): S469-74, 2012 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23157767

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Delivering health information and referrals through 2-1-1 is promising, but these systems need efficient ways of identifying callers at increased risk. PURPOSE: This study explores the utility of using 2-1-1 service request data to predict callers' cancer control needs. METHODS: Using data from a large sample of callers (N=4101) to United Way 2-1-1 Missouri, logistic regression was used to examine the relationship between caller demographics and type of service request, and cancer control needs. RESULTS: Of six types of service requests examined, three were associated with one or more cancer control needs. Two of the service request types were associated also with health insurance status. CONCLUSIONS: Findings suggest routinely collected 2-1-1 service request data may be useful in helping to efficiently identify callers with specific cancer prevention and control needs. However, to apply this approach in 2-1-1 systems across the country, further research and ongoing surveillance is necessary.


Assuntos
Necessidades e Demandas de Serviços de Saúde , Serviços de Informação/organização & administração , Neoplasias/prevenção & controle , Encaminhamento e Consulta/organização & administração , Adolescente , Adulto , Feminino , Humanos , Serviços de Informação/estatística & dados numéricos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Missouri , Encaminhamento e Consulta/estatística & dados numéricos , Fatores de Risco , Telefone , Adulto Jovem
11.
Am J Prev Med ; 43(6 Suppl 5): S483-9, 2012 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23157769

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: In times of crises, 2-1-1 serves as a lifeline in many ways. These crises often cause a spike in call volume that can challenge 2-1-1's ability to meet its service quality standards. For researchers gathering data through 2-1-1s, a sudden increase in call volume might reduce accrual as 2-1-1 has less time to administer study protocols. Research activities imbedded in 2-1-1 systems may affect directly 2-1-1 service quality indicators. PURPOSE: Using data from a 2-1-1 research collaboration, this paper examines the impact of crises on call volume to 2-1-1, how call volume affects research participant accrual through 2-1-1, and how research recruitment efforts affect 2-1-1 service quality indicators. METHODS: t-tests were used to examine the effect of call volume on research participant accrual. Linear and logistic regressions were used to examine the effect of research participant accrual on 2-1-1 service quality indicators. Data were collected June 2010-December 2011; data were analyzed in 2012. RESULTS: Findings from this collaboration suggest that crises causing spikes in call volume adversely affect 2-1-1 service quality indicators as well as accrual of research participants. Administering a brief (2-3 minute) health risk assessment did not affect service quality negatively, but administering a longer (15-18 minute) survey had a modest adverse effect on these indicators. CONCLUSIONS: In 2-1-1 research collaborations, both partners need to understand the dynamic relationship among call volume, research accrual, and service quality and adjust expectations accordingly. If research goals include administering a longer survey, increased staffing of 2-1-1 call centers may be needed to avoid compromising service quality.


Assuntos
Serviços de Informação/organização & administração , Seleção de Pacientes , Indicadores de Qualidade em Assistência à Saúde , Pesquisa/organização & administração , Comportamento Cooperativo , Coleta de Dados/métodos , Desastres , Humanos , Serviços de Informação/normas , Serviços de Informação/estatística & dados numéricos , Modelos Lineares , Modelos Logísticos , Medição de Risco/métodos , Telefone , Fatores de Tempo
14.
J Health Care Poor Underserved ; 23(2): 752-67, 2012 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22643622

RESUMO

Innovative interventions are needed to connect underserved populations to cancer control services. With data from Missouri, North Carolina, Texas, and Washington this study a) estimated the cancer control needs of callers to 2-1-1, an information and referral system used by underserved populations, b) compared rates of need with state and national data, and c) examined receptiveness to needed referrals. From October 2009 to March 2010 callers' (N=1,408) cancer control needs were assessed in six areas: breast, cervical, and colorectal cancer screening, HPV vaccination, smoking, and smoke-free homes using Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) survey items. Standardized estimates were compared with state and national rates. Nearly 70% of the sample had at least one cancer control need. Needs were greater for 2-1-1 callers than for state and national rates, and callers were receptive to referrals. 2-1-1 could be a key partner in efforts to reduce cancer disparities.


Assuntos
Acesso à Informação , Necessidades e Demandas de Serviços de Saúde , Serviços de Informação/estatística & dados numéricos , Neoplasias/prevenção & controle , Adolescente , Adulto , Sistema de Vigilância de Fator de Risco Comportamental , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Área Carente de Assistência Médica , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estados Unidos , Adulto Jovem
15.
J Soc Serv Res ; 37(2): 113-123, 2011.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21566702

RESUMO

Cancer disproportionately affects the underserved. United Way 2-1-1 is an information and referral system that links underserved populations to community services. This study explores the feasibility of integrating proactive screening and referral to health services into 2-1-1. A cancer risk assessment was administered to callers (n=297), measuring their need for six cancer control services. A subset of respondents was randomized to receive generic or tailored referrals to needed services. Nearly all participants (85%) needed at least one of the services. Those who received tailored referrals were more likely to make appointments. Future research will explore approaches to address and eliminate health disparities through 2-1-1.

16.
J Med Internet Res ; 11(4): e50, 2009 Nov 30.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19945948

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The rapid growth of eHealth could have the unintended effect of deepening health disparities between population subgroups. Most concerns to date have focused on population differences in access to technology, but differences may also exist in the appropriateness of online health content for diverse populations. OBJECTIVE: This paper reports findings from the first descriptive study of online cancer survivor stories by race and ethnicity of the survivor. METHODS: Using the five highest-rated Internet search engines and a set of search terms that a layperson would use to find cancer survivor stories online, we identified 3738 distinct sites. Of these, 106 met study criteria and contained 7995 total stories, including 1670 with an accompanying photo or video image of the survivor. Characteristics of both websites and survivor stories were coded. RESULTS: All racial minority groups combined accounted for 9.8% of online cancer survivor stories, despite making up at least 16.3% of prevalent cancer cases. Also notably underrepresented were stories from people of Hispanic ethnicity (4.1%), men (35.7%), survivors of colon cancer (3.5%), and older adults. CONCLUSIONS: Because racial/ethnic minority cancer survivors are underrepresented in survivor stories available online, it is unlikely that this eHealth resource in its current form will help eliminate the disproportionate burden of cancer experienced by these groups.


Assuntos
Etnicidade , Internet , Neoplasias/epidemiologia , Grupos Raciais , Sobreviventes/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Feminino , Hispânico ou Latino , Humanos , Masculino , Grupos Minoritários , Neoplasias/classificação , Neoplasias/mortalidade
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